It was a heck of a week for the Yankees offense, which put up a whopping 51 runs across a six-game road trip — including a 13-run inning on Sunday in Sacramento. Really, it's been a heck of a year for the Yankees' offense so far: New York enters play on Monday ranking fourth in baseball in runs scored, second in OPS, first in homers, and second in slugging percentage. This is, by any objective measure, one of the league's most dangerous lineups, just as it has been for pretty much the entire Aaron Judge era.
Then again, the Royals and Athletics aren't exactly lighting things up on the mound right now, and New York is no stranger to putting up crooked numbers against bad pitching staffs ... only to disappear when the competition ramps up in October. Dropping a 13-spot in a single inning is great; going hitless in every other inning is less so, and speaks to the way in which this offense can blow hot and cold.
If the Yankees want to prove to an understandably skeptical fan base that this year is different, they're going to need to produce against the sort elite arms they're liable to face in the postseason. Luckily, this week's series against the Guardians provides the perfect opportunity.
A dominant 7 innings of work from Gavin Williams!
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Guardians matchup is a chance for Yankees offense to prove the doubters wrong
Cleveland enters a three-game set at Yankee Stadium with the third-best record in the American League at 34-27, clear favorites to win the Central. Unsurprisingly, their pitching is a major reason why, with a 3.74 ERA that's tied for the sixth-lowest in the Majors. They've also struck out 567 batters, 16 more than any other team in the league, and their 24.8% K rate is tops in the AL.
All of which makes these Guardians the perfect stress test for the Yankees offense. It's not just that Cleveland can pitch; from starter Gavin Williams (set to get the ball on Wednesday) to star closer Cade Smith, it's a staff full of arms that will bury you if you can't find a way to make consistent contact. Working walks and waiting to run into a three-run homer isn't going to cut it.
That's been New York's bugaboo in the past — just go back to last season's ALDS loss to the Blue Jays if you need proof. The Yankees have beaten some very good pitchers this year, from Logan Gilbert to Jacob deGrom to Dylan Cease. But they've also been dominated by some very good pitchers, and they can't expect fans to give them the benefit of the doubt as long as those dry spells continue to pop up at the worst possible times.
The hard truth is that a seed of doubt will remain until we see this offense produce when it really matters in the postseason. Still, this is an early chance to prove to everybody that yesterday's problems aren't today's problems, and that New York is willing to change its approach and find ways to manufacture runs against the best of the best.
