This matchup couldn’t possibly be worse for Severino, who is facing the far-and-away best offense in all of baseball fresh off three straight nightmarish starts.
Let’s examine the odds and try to come up with the best possible bet for this game.
Yankees vs. Braves Odds, Spread and Prediction
Yankees vs. Braves Prediction and Pick
Of course, you could just bet on the Braves to win at home in a favorable matchup, but where’s the fun in betting on a -220 moneyline favorite?
Instead, let’s dig a little deeper here to see if we can maximize potential value.
Severino has allowed 4+ earned runs in five of his past seven starts, and has pitched into the fifth inning in just two of those starts. That recent trend doesn’t bode well against Atlanta, a team that leads MLB in averaging 3.03 runs scored over the first four innings.
Elder was dominant to begin this season, but has slowed down of late, allowing 5+ earned runs in four of his past six starts.
The Braves’ right-hander has fallen victim to poor control (five walks over his last 9.1 innings) and the long ball (six home runs allowed across his past six starts), two areas where the Yankees traditionally excel, even as their offense flatlines.
Consider betting on this game to get out of hand early, with at least one of these two pitchers giving up several runs.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.