Yankees vs. Angels prediction and odds for Monday, July 17 (Bet OVER with Luis Severino on mound)

There's a great way to fade Luis Severino when betting on the Yankees-Angels matchup on Monday.
New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino (40) reacts.
New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino (40) reacts. / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees’ first series after the All-Star break did not get off to a great start, as the team lost two out of three to the Colorado Rockies, including a heartbreaking extra-innings loss on Sunday. 

Now, New York will look to regroup when they begin a series with the Los Angeles Angels on Monday. The Yankees are in last place in the AL East, and they’re on the outside looking in of the playoff picture in the American League. 

They’ll need a strong start from Luis Severino (1-4, 7.38 ERA) on Monday, but it’s going to be hard to count on him. In two July starts, Severino has a 18.90 ERA in 6.2 innings pitched. 

Los Angeles sends righty Griffin Canning (6-4, 4.62 ERA) to the mound in this one. He’s also had a rough July, allowing four runs in 2.2 innings in his lone start this month. 

New York has a four-game cushion on Los Angeles in the American League Wild Card standings, but that could evaporate if the team struggles in this series. 

Let’s dive into the odds and a best bet for the series opener on Monday night: 

Yankees vs. Angels odds, run line and total

Yankees vs. Angels prediction and pick

Based on this starting pitching matchup, there’s a pretty easy way for bettors to go about wagering on this game: 

Bet the OVER!

Severino has been brutal for the Yankees all season long, but his issues have been magnified as of late. 

The former All-Star has a 9.48 ERA over his last seven starts, posting a 7.34 Fielding Independent Pitching over that stretch. Opponents are slashing a ridiculous .366/.429/.648 against him in his last seven games. 

To make matters worse, the Yankees’ elite bullpen is taxed from Sunday's extra innings affair, so Severino may have to give the team some type of length on Monday. 

I expect him to struggle against an Angels offense that ranks fifth in MLB in OPS this season. 

As for Canning, he’s been rather untrustworthy as well, allowing nine runs in 8.2 innings of work over his last two starts. On the season, Canning has five outings where he’s given up at least four runs and has a FIP of 5.05. 

Even the Yankees’ subpar offense should be able to push a few across against him. 

With that in mind, the OVER is the best way to bet on this series opener. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.