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Yankees carry hard-to-believe pattern into Subway Series vs. Mets at Citi Field

Avenge this, maybe? If not, no worries!
ByAdam Weinrib|
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Jul 5, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon (55) reacts after walking New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) to load the bases during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
Jul 5, 2025; New York City, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon (55) reacts after walking New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) to load the bases during the first inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images | Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Anecdotal evidence at best, but it really feels like, no matter how the Yankees and Mets start the season, the Yanks will be at their worst when they head to Citi Field. The Mets will either be at their very best or similarly bad, with home field advantage and entropy eventually tipping things in their favor (like last year, when the Yankees' bullpen gas can helped them get on their merry way in the opener).

If it feels like the Yankees always stumble into Citi Field, it's probably because they always stumble at Citi Field. No, really. The 2018-to-present Yankees have been a pretty damned good baseball team. The Mets couldn't get their act in gear until 2022. And yet New York (AL) hasn't won a single series at Citi Field since the summer of 2018.

That stat's a little skewed, given some schedule oddities, but it's also ... true! Having lost five of six, now would be a nice time for the Yankees to change that traffic pattern.

Yankees' history vs. Mets at Citi Field paints a bleak picture since 2018

For a while, this series changed to two home games for each team, so while the Yankees' most recent series win at Citi came in 2018 (powered by Chad Green capturing a comeback win over Jacob deGrom, of course), there are a few split seasons. The two sides matched 1-1 in both 2019 and 2023, and the Mets took the singular Citi Field game between the teams in the shortened 2020 campaign.

Other than that, though ... it's right there in ink. The Mets are 18-12 overall against the Yankees in the 2020s, and despite a few fun moments (the Yankees' Sept. 11 comeback a few years back, capped featuring two Aaron Judge home runs), they certainly haven't been the little brother.

In this particular series. Overall, yes, they definitely have been. But mano a mano ... no, the Mets have the upper hand.

The Yankees will be sending three pitchers to the mound in this set who could easily bedevil their opponent in Cam Schlittler, Carlos Rodón and Ryan Weathers. Weathers is coming off six no-hit innings in Baltimore and Schlittler is coming off two consecutive games of being hit by a 100+ MPH line drive.

In order to capture the series, the Yankees will need to defeat either Clay Holmes (Friday's opener) or Freddy Peralta (Sunday's finale). If they're able to beat both, they'll break an eight-year hex. Stunning, but true. Is it too late to bring Shea Stadium back?

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