Yankees vs. Cardinals prediction and odds for Sunday, July 2

The Yankees have certainly missed Aaron Judge in their lineup, but today is one game where they'll survive and thrive without him against Jordan Montgomery and the Cardinals.
New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo (48)
New York Yankees first baseman Anthony Rizzo (48) / Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

Yesterday, the Yankees bounced back to take Game 2 of this series with the St. Louis Cardinals and now will wrap things up this afternoon with Gerrit Cole on the mound against former Yankee, Jordan Montgomery. 

Cole is 8-1 with a 2.78 ERA in his 17 starts this season, but is coming off an outing in which he only went 4.2 innings and allowed three runs on nine hits against the Rangers. Montgomery on the other hand is 5-7 with a 3.52 ERA in 16 starts this year. He has won his last two outings for the 34-48 Cardinals. The Yankees are 46-37 and third place in the AL East. 

Let’s take a look at the odds for this one after the Yankees and Cardinals have split the first two in this interleague series. 

Yankees vs. Cardinals odds, run line and total

Yankees vs. Cardinals prediction and pick

Cole struggled last time and has a FIP of 3.40 which could indicate some impending regression for the Yankee ace. New York might not be able to withstand it if Cole goes through some mid-season struggles. Over the last 30 days, the Yankees are 28th in team OPS and will still be without Aaron Judge for an extended period of time. Without Judge, their best hitter is Anthony Rizzo, and he could carry the rest of the Yankees against the left-handed Montgomery. 

Montgomery’s FIP is right in line with his ERA both at exactly 3.52 and he has been very good in his last few starts with just six earned runs allowed over his last five outings. The Yankees are 12th in team OPS against lefties, and Judge actually only had a .580 OPS against left-handed pitching. 

New York is better off without Judge in this one, believe it or not. Harrison Bader has a 1.395 OPS against lefties and Anthony Rizzo and Anthony Volpe have both hit them well this season. The Yankees should succeed against Montgomery and the Cardinals will not have enough to beat Cole, so I’ll take New York to win it. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change