3 Yankees top pitching prospects who must be added to 40-man roster this offseason
Two because they have to, one for fun.
With another Yankees season in the books (Spoiler Alert: No title), it's time to look forward to an offseason full of roster adjustments.
The Rule 5 Draft, aka the rest of baseball's favorite opportunity to steal from the New York Yankees, is nearly upon us (in mid-December). The Yanks have a relatively clean 40-man roster this time around, with plenty of upcoming free agent departures creating even more room than normal for both free agent additions and prospect protection. That said, someone's still going to get left behind and poached.
The Yankees' Rule 5 eligible players run the gamut, as usual, from mid-tier pitching prospects to essentials to lottery tickets to Andres Chaparro. Chaparro was left unprotected in 2022, wasn't swiped, hit 25 homers, and probably will be again; the Yankees likely won't be so lucky this time.
The chatter around keeping (or promoting) the slugger hasn't been quite so loud this summer. As wave after wave of offensive kids arrived, only to disappoint, the narrative has instead centered around the farm's impressive pitching prospects, from Randy Vásquez to Jhony Brito to even Clarke Schmidt. That's where Rule 5-conscious teams typically look first; a reliever can be rushed up from Double-A and protected all year long, while a Double-A first baseman can rarely survive on a big-league bench for an entire season without being returned to their previous team.
That means the Yankees have a wealth of pitching talent to be careful with entering the Poaching Period; everyone drafted in 2020 or earlier who's not on the 40-man can be grabbed. The Yanks need to make room for these three players -- one of whom isn't even eligible yet, but still must be a part of their 2024 roster plans.
3 Yankees top pitching prospects who belong on 2024 40-man roster
The Obvious: Clayton Beeter, RHP
There's no world in which Beeter, a 2023 Futures Game participant, goes unprotected this season. After a late rally at Triple-A where he found his footing, he seems primed for either a swingman role in the Bronx next summer or a spot at the forefront of an offseason trade package.
The 24-year-old Beeter opened eyes last summer after coming over from the Dodgers in the Joey Gallo trade (haha!), and after plowing through Double-A Somerset this summer, capped by a 0.54 June ERA with 24 Ks in 16.2 innings, he scuffled upon reaching the minors' highest level. Though his WHIP remains unsightly (17 walks in 25.1 September innings), he found his comfort zone in August (3.57 ERA in five starts) and the season's final month (4.26 ERA in five starts, with 64 total Ks in Aug.-Sept.).
Beeter might not be Opening Day ready, but there's a good chance he factors into the Yankees' rotation as a spot starter/middle innings eraser a la Michael King. There's no debate here; they won't be taking a chance and leaving him off the 40-man. This is more of a public service announcement than anything. We're simply alerting you, "Hey, he's one of the guys this winter, just so you know. Deal with it." We'll see him sooner than later.
The Sneaky: Edgar Barclay, LHP
If Matt Krook can't find the zone (24.75 ERA, 3.50 WHIP in MLB), then maybe it's time to try Edgar Barclay first next year.
Barclay, who reached Triple-A at the age of 25 this summer, built up his innings impressively in recent years, piling up 77.1 in 2021, 67.1 last summer, and 78.1 in 2023, making him perfectly suited to filling a big-league relief role full-time next season.
If the Yankees don't protect their 2019 15th-rounder, another MLB team will certainly poach him. Without Wandy Peralta under contract for next season, though, the Yankees are definitively lefty-deficient. Scott Effross has lefty energy, true, and yet we must remind you that he pitches with his right arm (which should theoretically be healthy by Opening Day).
That gives Barclay an even bigger, clearer pathway to playing time than most other upper-level minor leaguers. His Triple-A cameo this season was largely unsuccessful, tainting his full-season numbers while he attempted to chase the high of 2022 (1.74 ERA at Hudson Valley, 86 Ks and 41 hits allowed in 67.1 innings). In 10 outings with Scranton (all starts, after starting zero games a level below), Barclay walked 33 men in 44.1 innings; he'd only walked 11 in 34 frames with Somerset. His ERA leapt from 1.32 to 5.89, while his WHIP ballooned from 1.09 to 1.74.
Maybe he wasn't ready for Triple-A. Maybe he wasn't ready to start. Maybe he never will be. But there's enough in Barclay's profile, and enough experience in his left arm, for someone to take a chance if the Yankees don't.
The "Let's Have Fun": Will Warren, RHP
OK, so it's one year early for Warren, who doesn't technically have to be protected until 2024-25. Counterpoint: Live a little?
No, the Yankees don't need to protect Warren this offseason, but adding him to the 40-man is a time-saving maneuver. They're likely going to have to call him up in May anyway, right? So why DFA someone when the time comes when you could've just had Warren approved and in the pipeline from jump street?
Warren, expected to take a major step forward and emerge as the Yankees' top pitching prospect in 2023 after the departures of Ken Waldichuk and Hayden Wesneski, was lapped in the public consciousness by Drew Thorpe and Chase Hampton.
That doesn't mean he wasn't excellent, though.
Warren efficiently disposed of Double-A, posting a 2.45 ERA in six starts and striking out 39 men in 29.1 innings to begin the year. After being promoted, he hit the typical roadblock, but recovered to end his season in dominant fashion. The overall numbers are good, too; 110 Ks in 99.1 innings, alongside a 3.61 Triple-A ERA (and, yes, 47 walks), do an excellent job of papering over his 5.17 June ERA and 6.14 July mark.
The sweeper-heavy righty wrapped the campaign with potentially his two most effective starts of the year; Warren combined for 10 innings, seven hits, 17 strikeouts, and a single earned run allowed across the pair of outings. So what if he doesn't need to be added to the 40-man, by definition? The Yankees will need him next season. This just gives them a head start on things.