2 Yankees who shouldn't be considered for contract extensions and 1 who should
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The New York Yankees took a big step forward this week, showing a willingness to swallow the endgame of Aaron Hicks' seven-year extension to make the current big-league roster better.
Is a Josh Donaldson DFA next? Who's to say? Either way, the Yankees finally decided to look a loss in the eyes and call it a loss. It should be easier for the Yankees to shake off a long-term mistake than, say, the Reds or Royals. They should be able to sign who they want to sign, extend who they want to extend, and say, "Damn the luxury tax!" knowing full well that if something goes sideways, they can always get out of it by opening up their coffers and spending even more money.
Better safe than sorry, though, especially since the Hicks maneuver was a long time coming.
More often recently, the Yankees have taken on bad money (Josh Donaldson, some would say Giancarlo Stanton) and allowed it to hold them hostage. The whole point of this franchise is they can make mistakes others can't. If they're going to contend that their payroll is clogged, though, they shouldn't be allowed to make any more premature or unnecessary extensions.
For one winter and one winter only, the Yankees felt generous, guaranteeing seven years to Aaron Hicks and four additional seasons to Luis Severino before the 2019 campaign. Neither player has seen the field all that much since those deals were signed. New York's generosity has remained a cautionary tale and, if they're going to insist on acting this way, they should avoid getting into deep conversations with another pair of roadblocks.
Yankees should halt any contract extension talks with Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres is a top-10 offensive second baseman in the game right now. If the Yankees want to reach their ceiling in 2023, they need to keep him around -- and keep him happy.
They shouldn't be tempted, though, to extend him and create another blockade in the infield, lowering their leverage significantly in any forthcoming Oswald Peraza trade.
Torres has been a different player since leaving any designs of playing shortstop behind. As a full-time second baseman, he's been competent with the glove, outside of a few occasional lapses. Where he really shines, though, is at the bat; Torres smashed 24 home runs last year and wrapped with a 114 OPS+, and seems on pace for similar totals this season.
That's the exact level of production that qualifies as, "Too good to move, not good enough to pay to stick around." Torres has always suffered from the burden of high expectations. He was a top-20 prospect nationally when he arrived, and he hit 38 home runs as a 22-year-old in 2019. Little did we know, at the time, that the baseball itself was wound tighter than ever before that year, and that Torres was about to be wound pretty tightly, too, after being pressed into shortstop duty.
His production is certainly competent, but he'll likely never be the type of alpha star that seemed to be foretold four years ago. Peraza wouldn't be a better fit at the position now, the midway point of an important season, but he could easily provide similar production (with elite defense) entering 2024. Torres should be kept, for the time being, but he is more likely to be traded than extended.
Yankees should avoid a future contract with Luis Severino
Sad, but true, the Yankees will probably reach the end of their marriage with Luis Severino by the end of the season.
Hopefully, for both parties, his 2023 season lasts from May through November, bearing fruit for his eventual free agency and wrapping up with a ring.
While Severino's $10 million AAV on his "ill-fated" extension is still pennies on the dollar for someone of his talent, the fact remains he made three starts in 2019, recovered from Tommy John to make four relief appearances in 2021, and added 19 (very effective) starts last season before debuting on Sunday in his final campaign under contract. It hasn't been a Hicks-ian blunder (at the same AAV), but Severino has been through a remarkable amount of bumps and bruises since putting pen to paper.
Who knew that, when he forgot the start time of a 2018 postseason game (allegedly), that wouldn't be close to rock bottom?
Both sides can play nice for the rest of the summer. Severino can claim he wants to stay here forever, despite beefing with the training staff and baseball ops departments on numerous occasions. When push comes to shove, though, both parties have a vested interest in getting Sevy right this year. A dominant performance from the right-hander raises the Yankees' ceiling, but also pushes his next contract into a price range where the Yanks won't have to make a difficult call, and can just say goodbye.
Yankees should intensify contract extension talks with Harrison Bader
An argument can be made for extending Harrison Bader the qualifying offer this offseason rather than paying him for multiple years, but there's inherent risk in letting a player dangle. The QO has stopped teams from surrendering draft picks before, but if Bader has a good enough year, it won't be much of a deterrant. Plus, the Yankees have been loath to use it.
When the Yankees extended the injury-prone Hicks back in 2019, they did so because they didn't foresee good things on the center field market in the years to come, and wanted to retain a top-10 name at a bargain. The logic was somewhat sound. Unfortunately, the logic didn't account for Tommy John surgery and a wrist sheath tear.
Luckily, this time around, it won't take seven years to convince Bader to forego free agency; Bader is hitting free agency this offseason regardless, and shouldn't expect more than a three- or four-year deal. With minimal commitment necessary to re-up a player who's been a perfect fit (and whose skills have played up in pinstripes), it should be a no-brainer for the Yankees to try to commit themselves to Bader while waiting for Jasson Dominguez and Spencer Jones to arrive.
And, remember: Neither of those prospects might be long-term center fielders. Bader not only plays center, but plays it better than almost anywhere else.
Neither the cost nor the length of a Bader deal should be prohibitive to the Yankees moving forward, and a "hometown discount" extension should pay dividends, no matter what comes out of the prospect pipeline. Locking down a second baseman or a starting pitcher now would be a mistake. Locking down a center fielder without going overboard? No-brainer.