3 reasons Yankees’ bullpen might doom them in postseason
The New York Yankees’ thrilling 9-8 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday night was some of the most fun fans have had in quite some time. But did the game need to be that dramatic? Some might say the Yankees’ comeback was solely a result of ineptitude elsewhere.
That would be the bullpen! The Yankees scored four runs and got five innings of one-run ball from Nestor Cortes against a should-be 100-loss team. That, in theory, should’ve been enough to make it a sweat-free night.
But even the Yankees’ best relief arms couldn’t hold strong versus one of most underwhelming lineups in MLB. Ron Marinaccio, Lou Trivino, Jonathan Loaisiga and Clay Holmes (again!) all allowed at least one earned run. On top of the rotation regressing, which was expected, the bullpen has faceplanted (kind of unexpected, if we’re being honest).
In the first half, the Yankees’ group of relievers went 28-16 with a 2.89 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 327 strikeouts in 315 innings. In the second half, that’s all dipped to 13-12 with a 3.34 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 191 strikeouts in 197 innings. Granted, that’s a difference of 118 innings, but the bullpen has also hit 13 batters (vs 18), hurled nine wild pitches (vs 13) and registered a 2.33 SO/W ratio (vs a 2.73 mark) over that span. There are trends easily spotted here.
It’s a combination of a lot of things. Regression. Lack of trust. Overall disarray. Injuries. Managerial decisions. Front office decisions. We can play the blame game all day, but the fact of the matter is that this all needs to be figured out in the next two weeks or else …
The Yankees bullpen could doom them in October for many reasons
3. There Are No Roles!
It’s a game of who’s who. And we’ll get to the biggest problem of them all a little later on. But can you, as a fan who watches religiously, identify which pitcher has which role and who is trusted to complete a certain task?
For the entire year, it’s been unclear what Wandy Peralta’s purpose has been. He’s entered games from the third inning on with no discernible goal in mind — or at least that’s what it’s felt like. Clarke Schmidt is used in high-leverage situations … and then meaningless garbage time. Lou Trivino is kind of the new fireman after the trade deadline, we think? Greg Weissert’s been all over the place.
Obviously, this has to do with Michael King and Chad Green being out for the year, Scott Effross and Miguel Castro on the IL, and instability in the back end as a whole. Despite the obvious problems, perhaps it would’ve done the Yankees good to at least get two of the aforementioned pitchers entrenched in some line of duty.
2. Potentially Relying on Production From Guys Who Haven’t Pitched
This is solely an “issue” because there’s no clarity. Are the Yankees seriously going to count on contributions from guys like Zack Britton, Miguel Castro and Stephen Ridings? Britton and Ridings haven’t pitched since last year, and Castro, after seeing the wheels come off before he hit the IL, hasn’t pitched since July 10.
All three are on the mend, however, most recently appearing at Triple-A (Britton and Castro) and Double-A (Ridings). If this is the plan, then the Yankees have approached the deep end, and will soon fall in if they attempt to watch it come to fruition.
Time and time again, it’s hard for this team to even rely on key bullpen contributors to perform in the playoffs (Aroldis Chapman, Adam Ottavino, Jonathan Loaisiga, Zack Britton, and probably more!) when the time comes. And that’s with ample time under their belts as they get ready for the elevated action.
Now there’s the possibility of doing a 180 and having three guys who have combined for a TOTAL of 27 innings this year while coming off major injuries toss meaningful, high-leverage innings?
Again, we don’t know if this is actually the plan, but the fact that it’s even on the table is horrifying.
1. There’s No Closer!
Say it with us! There’s! No! Closer! Aroldis Chapman might not even make the postseason roster, if the Yankees actually had the guts to make such a drastic decision.
But his supposed successor in Clay Holmes has been awful for months now. His overall season numbers are good, but it’s all about how you’re performing as October approaches. In Holmes’ case, he’d be all but officially dead to rights in this scenario.
Since July, the right-hander has allowed 16 earned runs on 22 hits and 15 walks in just 25 innings of work. Compare that to his two earned runs on 22 hits and six walks in his first 36.2 innings of work, and perhaps the picture is better painted for you. He has just six saves in his last 25 games, compared to an impressive 14 through his first 35 games.
Aaron Boone has no choice, though. Chapman is as bad and unreliable as they come (4.41 ERA, 4.64 FIP, 1.38 WHIP, 23 walks in 32.2 innings). He cannot locate. His off-speed stuff isn’t good enough to make up for his diminishing velocity. He’s continued to let the team down in astonishing fashion after a career-worst 2021 (and now a career-worst 2022!).
Loaisiga, despite a recent rebound, has regressed back to his previous production. After a breakout 2021 that had fans anointing him as the organization’s next closer, the right-hander has a 4.64 ERA, 3.81 FIP, 1.34 WHIP and 33 strikeouts in 42.2 innings pitched. He’s also struggled terribly with his location (4 BB/9) and has seen his strikeouts dip. It’s unclear what the problem has been beyond his previous shoulder injury.
As you can see, right now there’s no closer. And the Yankees have been doomed in previous postseasons thanks to a combo of their offense going silent and their bullpen being unable to hold onto slim leads. What’s told us this year will be any different, especially now that the bullpen’s arguably the worst it’s been since 2017?