FanSided

3 Yankees replacements for Chad Green after forearm injury

By Adam Weinrib |
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 28: Chad Green #57 of the New York Yankees pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during the eighth inning at Yankee Stadium on April 28, 2022 in New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 28: Chad Green #57 of the New York Yankees pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during the eighth inning at Yankee Stadium on April 28, 2022 in New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images)
1 of 3
Next

Certain sects of New York Yankees fans are about to see what it’s like when their tweets come to life, as the Bombers will be without fireman Chad Green for an extended period of time after he left Thursday’s action for forearm soreness, the absolute worst place to be sore.

With Green in his walk year and approaching free agency, the right-hander may have thrown his final pitch for the Yankees midway through a Baltimore meltdown.

It was quite likely, already, that Green would have to be replaced full-time next season, considering the likelihood of the Yankees paying a 30-year-old late-inning non-closer on a multi-year deal.

Still, Green’s been a stalwart of this bullpen since 2017, and has performed at an above-average level for nearly his entire tenure, though he ended up on the short end of the stick in far too many blown high-leverage opportunities in 2021. That’s what happens when you spend five full seasons getting into exclusively high-leverage opportunities, but … still, the luck regression stick hit Green hard last season, leaving his confidence in his two-pitch mix lacking.

Even in that “career-worst” year, though … 0.884 WHIP, 99 strikeouts in 83.2 innings, and a 3.12 ERA, wrecked by the gopher ball. That innings total is unfortunately the most important number, as overuse fears calcified Thursday when Green’s arm finally surrendered.

The Yankees will need something far better than replacement-level production from whoever fills Green’s shoes. They have a few internal options who’ll need to step up in the meantime, but if bullpen reinforcements were already a need at the 2022 deadline, that need just doubled in intensity in the blink of an eye.

3 Yankees bullpen targets to replace injured Chad Green

Ron Marinaccio #97 of the New York Yankees (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images)
Ron Marinaccio #97 of the New York Yankees (Photo by Dustin Satloff/Getty Images) /

3. Internal: Ron Marinaccio, Wandy Peralta, Clarke Schmidt?

For the time being, the Yankees need to promote someone from within their bullpen to take over more regular seventh-inning duty. After being bizarrely shelved for a 10-day chunk, Wandy Peralta showed on Thursday afternoon why he became such an integral bullpen piece in 2021.

Far less volatile than his middle-innings running mates so far in 2022 (God bless Miguel Castro, but his implosion potential is through the roof), Peralta holds a 1.38 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 13 innings thus far, using his devastating changeup to tame batters from both sides of the plate. His 3.02 FIP indicates some regression is coming, but regression that would still leave him as a top bullpen option moving forward. In limited duty, the 30-year-old is in the 97th percentile in terms of limiting high exit velocity, and his Statcast page glows starkly red (minus the strikeouts, something he’ll never be able to induce at an exceptional level). Without Green, Peralta should be getting the seventh inning several times a week — though the Yankees’ current bullpen seems to be employing Swiss Army knife-style versatility.

In need of a strikeout? Maybe Clarke Schmidt starts to appear in the seventh or eighth a few times instead of in the middle innings for three-inning savior duty. Schmidt’s missed bats all season long, spinning his fastball in the 87th percentile so far despite yo-yo’ing back and forth to Triple-A.

Though Ron Marinaccio hasn’t replicated his early April success, he’s also earned a roster spot during Green’s absence, though his recent inability to control OR command his running fastball leaves him as the last option out of the ‘pen rather than a direct fill-in for Green. He’ll need to show quite a bit more composure before he’s trusted in high-leverage chances, but he’ll likely linger on the roster while JP Sears gets work in Scranton.

Taylor Clarke #45 of the Kansas City Royals (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)
Taylor Clarke #45 of the Kansas City Royals (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) /

2. Royals: Taylor Clarke and Co.

So many MLB teams are discernibly “bad,” but so few of them have veteran relievers on one-year deals to dangle for a two-month windfall. Weird and sad! Poor planning!

Also, so many discernibly bad MLB teams are, like, a game out of the Wild Card because that’s what baseball is now. The Red Sox are well under .500. They’re also probably among the favorites to grab the sixth playoff spot. Can’t count anyone out!

Except the Royals. You can count them out, and the Yankees should be trying to pick apart their bullpen tree come July, regardless of whether or not their own ‘pen feels stable.

Taylor Clarke, a former Diamondbacks third-rounder turned bullpen option, carries a 1.091 WHIP through 14.2 innings pitched in 2022. Clarke’s hard-hit percentage and xWOBA rank in the 81st and 82nd percentiles respectively, and while fastball spin isn’t his strength (46th percentile), he induces chases at an elite rate (89th percentile). There’s plenty for Matt Blake to work with here.

Perhaps the Yankees prefer Gabe Speier and his 0.83 WHIP in in 13.1 innings? He’s also elite at limiting hard contact, but both his fastball spin and chase rate lag behind. He’s controllable through 2027, an unheard-of time for any team to trade any player. He’ll be dirt cheap for years, so the Yanks would likely have to overwhelm KC in exchange for someone who isn’t a sure thing.

Scott Barlow? He’s got a 0.87 WHIP in 18.1 innings with 16 strikeouts, as well as bright red glowing Statcast metrics. He spins his fastball better than anyone we’ve previously discussed (59th percentile) and is in the 97th percentile for inducing chases. This also isn’t his first go ’round as a late-inning reliever. He’s under control through 2024, somehow making him the easiest name to pry away in trade.

Pair any one of these three arms with Andrew Benintendi and get to talking.

David Bednar #51 of the Pittsburgh Pirates (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images)
David Bednar #51 of the Pittsburgh Pirates (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images) /

1. Pirates: David Bednar, Wil Crowe Dream?

Bad news: the Pirates won’t let the Yankees steal another reliever with tons of control attached the way they did in the Clay Holmes deal last year. Won’t get fooled again!

The good news? The Pirates still have some more impressive relief arms for the Yankees, their favorite trade partners (post-Gerrit Cole talks), to attempt to pry off their roster.

These guys are performing well, though, unlike the flat-lining Holmes, who had stalled out in Pittsburgh. New York would have to surrender two top-10 prospects (at the very least) for either of these arms, and will have to determine just how dire their need is when the deadline is approaching.

In essence, the Royals are an easier match, but the Pirates have more impressive talent.

Wil Crowe, controlled through 2026, has thrown 23 innings in just 14 appearances (one spot start), and holds a 1.13 WHIP while whiffing 23 batters. He’s also, uh, broken Statcast, ranking (alone?) in the 100th percentile for hard-hit rate. The Yankees could be interested in someone who’s busted the system so spectacularly.

Could the Pirates be ruthless enough buccaneers to trade David Bednar, their breakout closer/likely All-Star/Pittsburgh native? They only have one hometown boy, Neil Walker-style, to lead them through their currently endless rebuild. At this moment, they’re probably hoping Ke’Bryan Hayes/Oneil Cruz are enough to keep the fan base enticed. They’re also hoping Bednar makes the midsummer trip to Los Angeles and raises his public profile ahead of the deadline.

Also controlled through 2026, Bednar’s hard-hit metrics (11th percentile in average exit velocity, 16th in hard-hit percentage) tell a very different story than his upper-echelon xWOBA, xERA, and xBA. Thus far, the bulldog’s elite fastball has led to an overload of swings-and-misses (27 Ks in 20 innings), and he rarely gives batters a chance to reach base (0.60 WHIP, 0.90 ERA). He’s also got that unquantifiable DAWG in him, staring down hitters and bringing the appropriate level of intensity for the late innings.

Both Crowe and Bednar would be idealized targets, but the less flashy Crowe’s success seems a bit more sustainable.

Next
Home / Yankees Rumors

Schedule