3 Yankees spring training mirages you should try to believe in
Just a quick recap for the Yankees readers:
What doesn’t matter in spring training: individual statistics, wins, losses, whether or not you remembered sunblock.
What does matter in spring training: underlying metrics, massive changes, renewed confidence, corrected problems, where you’re parked (hot steering wheel).
Now that we’ve gotten that established, it’s time to wean you off of spring training overreactions (sorry the Yankees are under .500, really, truly) and wean you onto the Encouraging Signs Bandwagon. Get weaned! Get on over here!
Using a combination of the eye test and hard data (really the best way to evaluate talent), we think it’s safe to say this trio of spring training bounce back standouts should probably make you hopeful rather than apathetic.
Is spring success a guarantee of regular season dominance? Far from it! Could these guys unlearn the strides they’ve made once the lights are brighter and the lineups are better? Annoying, but possible? Will Kyle Higashioka hit 85 home runs this year? Yes.
Bottom line, these three Yankees have made tangible strides and changes to their approaches this March and April. They’re not just finding holes or wriggling out of bases-loaded jams. They’re tearing the cover off the baseball and gripping and ripping.
These 3 Yankees spring training mirages could be for real
3. Gleyber Torres’ Swagger (and Oppo Pop)
So far, Yankee fans have been given one piece of reinforcement and one piece of encouragement regarding Gleyber Torres this swing.
- We know he cannot play shortstop, which he proved once again by sitting, waiting, and wishing for a slow-hopping grounder on Wednesday night, allowing a runner to reach for no apparent reason.
- Numbers aside, Torres has been doing a noticeably better job of turning on the baseball and depositing it over the wall in right-center field thus far this spring.
After a mostly-powerless 2021 that began to correct itself in August and Sept., we’re not ready to declare the 38-homer 2019 version of Gleyber to be all-caps BACK, but we’re ready to ring the bell and preach enthusiasm for reasons that go beyond his triple-slash (though a .990 OPS, through Friday, ain’t bad, folks).
It’s reductive to attribute Torres’ spring training mashing to “dad strength” after he became a proud father earlier in camp, but for whatever reason, the 25-year-old has looked … settled at the plate during a delayed spring training that could’ve presented plenty of pressure.
After all, when the Yankees acquired Josh Donaldson and Isiah Kiner-Falefa, they shipped his best friend Gio Urshela out of town and added to an infield logjam that was sure to create less playing time for either Torres or DJ LeMahieu. Torres was the one without the long-term deal, and seemed destined to be an Oakland A, playing in front of 80,000 (approximately) empty seats, while Frankie Montas worked with Matt Blake in New York.
Just a few weeks later, he remains entrenched at second base, leaving LeMahieu on the outside looking in and roving around the infield. His numbers may not stay sky high, but he appears to have reconnected with the confidence he left behind in ’19.
2. Deivi Garcia’s Zip
Again, we’re not calling spring training the gospel. We just think it’s absolutely possible to buy in on what the diminutive Deivi Garcia is selling, considering he’s succeeding not through magic and guile, but by creating as much separation between his fastball and slow stuff as he ever has.
Thanks in large part to the Yankees’ tutelage in Matt Blake’s lab, Garcia’s been consistently hitting 95 and 96, his fastest velocity since early 2021 and about 3-4 MPH harder than his recent baselines.
That is a massive difference.
Again, hard data. Wax poetic about Albert Abreu’s shutout spring or grouse about Chad Green giving up the home run ball all you want, but what really matters is … who’s nasty? And, if there are any massive performance upgrades, what’s driving them?
For Garcia, the changing trends are obvious. After breaking through to the big leagues as a shifty righty reliant on deception, he’s now popping his fastball at an elevated velocity. We’re not talking 92-to-99; we’re just talking about enough of a bounce to get by with a mistake middle-middle every so often. That’s huge.
Pedro Martinez was an avowed fan of the old Garcia, but that pitcher began to sink into the ether after he was solved by the Red Sox late in 2020, the bounced from a playoff start after allowing one — count ’em, one — home run. The 2020 vintage of Garcia was often solid at limiting hard contact (remember what he did to the Jays?), but didn’t possess that extra tick or two to help himself out of jams if he wasn’t locating.
Many had all but written off the kid after a 2021 season in which his ERA approached 7.00 at Triple-A and he piled up more walks than pitches thrown (unofficial stat). Now? We’re excited to see what he can add as a depth piece, lined up alongside Luis Gil and the man in our No. 1 spot.
1. Clarke Schmidt’s Spin
You want to talk about passing the eye test and the lab results? Clarke Schmidt’s fastball/slider combo have been locking up hitters all spring long, and behind the curtain, his spin rate has been obscene.
That’s why you buy.
What? Were you going to eternally judge Schmidt off a weird 2020 debut where he was thrown into the late innings of an Orioles game in a high-leverage situation for no apparent reason? Or his 2021 spot start at Citi Field after missing several months following a too-hard ramp up?
Maybe it’s worth remembering that before the world shut down in 2020, Schmidt’s spring was the talk of the town. Some were shocked when he didn’t make the Yankees roster out of summer camp that season. All of a sudden he’s persona non grata because you didn’t like your first look at him under duress?
It’s easy to make these sorts of snap judgments, and if Schmidt had shown up to camp this season in what could be his final chance to prove himself still sporting the loopy curveball and 94 MPH cheddar, he might’ve lost the organization’s trust.
Instead, he’s spinning the ball at an absurd rate, earning red marks in Statcast’s book basically every time he tosses a pitch this spring. Like Garcia, he’s shown an obvious velocity (and pep) increase, which was evident when he shut down the heart of the Phillies order last week (including Kyle Schwarber looking at the fastball multiple times).
Ideally, Schmidt’s reminded many who wrote him off about why he ascended the Yankees’ prospect lists in the first place. It wasn’t by default. It was because he had untapped potential, and the revolutions he’s putting on the baseball right now prove he’s close to maxing out.