3 surprise trades Yankees can make when MLB Lockout ends

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 03: Gio Urshela #29 of the New York Yankees catches a pop foul off the bat of Austin Meadows #17 of the Tampa Bay Rays in the top of the sixth inning at Yankee Stadium on October 03, 2021 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 03: Gio Urshela #29 of the New York Yankees catches a pop foul off the bat of Austin Meadows #17 of the Tampa Bay Rays in the top of the sixth inning at Yankee Stadium on October 03, 2021 in New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images)
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JULY 04: Gio Urshela #29 of the New York Yankees points to the dugout after hitting a three-run home run against the New York Mets in the second inning during game two of a doubleheader at Yankee Stadium on July 04, 2021 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JULY 04: Gio Urshela #29 of the New York Yankees points to the dugout after hitting a three-run home run against the New York Mets in the second inning during game two of a doubleheader at Yankee Stadium on July 04, 2021 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Steven Ryan/Getty Images) /

The 2022 New York Yankees are incomplete — or, at least, they’d better be.

The 2021 Yankees were too, of course, and the roster they’re going to end the lockout with will be even worse than the one that wrapped last season at Fenway Park, looking befuddled at the vapor trails of two Giancarlo Stanton non-home runs that could’ve changed everything.

Sure, they’ll have a healthy DJ LeMahieu when the curtain rises on ’22 and will be without Andrew Velazquez at short. They also won’t have Anthony Rizzo at first, though, who might’ve been the team’s third-best hitter by default when they entered the postseason. Jameson Taillon won’t be active on Opening Day, either, unless it gets pushed all the way to June because of stagnant MLB-MLBPA talks.

And, to make matters worse, the Yankees haven’t even replaced the unsatisfactory Velazquez with anything better! Even Tyler Wade’s gone, DFA’d and now in Anaheim, to save space on the 40-man roster for Rule 5-eligibles who had to be protected … for a draft that never happened.

Yes, the Yankees ended 2021 without a shortstop, and are starting 2022 with the hole somehow deeper than ever before.

Not to mention the middle of the rotation, the middle of the bullpen, the outfield, the fact that DJ LeMahieu no longer has a position in Year 2 of a six-year deal, the Gary Sánchez Conundrum, Sticky Stuff … yeah, it’d be nice to see transactions legalized once again. Be cool, Rob Manfred. Just one time.

The Yanks will not be signing Carlos Correa — especially not after the superstar hired Scott Boras this week to lay waste to desperate teams’ finances. They likely won’t be singing Trevor Story, either, though a fan can still dream about a price drop there.

A Matt Olson/Oakland A’s pitcher trade feels so clearly foretold that we’re surprised it actually didn’t happen pre-lockout. If it falls apart, Anthony Rizzo will be back … or, at least, he’d better be.

So … do the Yankees have some tricks up their sleeve? Can they still surprise us? Keep your eyes on these three deals that could materialize, and feel right in line with New York’s oddly silent offseason.

3 surprise trades Yankees can make before 2022 MLB season

3. Gio Urshela to Seattle

Mariners legend Kyle Seager, who finished out his contract in Seattle this past fall by doffing his cap to the crowd, eliminated from postseason play at the wire just a few hours after it seemed like they’d really have a shot, will need to be replaced at third base in 2022.

Not because he priced himself out with a 30-homer farewell to Seattle, but because he opted to retire rather than spend time with another franchise.

Honorable, but it leaves a borderline playoff team with Abraham Toro starting at third with very little backing behind him. It’s a more versatile infield than it was at the tail end of last season after they acquired Adam Frazier to play second, but it’s still incomplete.

Perhaps the Yankees can help, especially if they’re bigger believers in DJ LeMahieu at third, STOPGAP at short, Gleyber Torres at second, and a star at first. Maybe LeMahieu’s contract makes it so they have to prefer that.

Gio Urshela, under control through 2023, has given his heart and soul to this Yankees team as recently as Game 162 last year when he sprinted headlong into the dugout to retire the side against the Rays. He doesn’t have a defined role moving forward if Gleyber Torres isn’t a shortstop and DJ LeMahieu isn’t a second baseman, however, and now that he’s on the wrong side of 30, his defense may start to recede at the same rate as his offense has in the absence of Rob Manfred’s Rocket Balls (96 OPS+, 0.6 WAR last year).

Urshela might not net the Yankees a massive return, but the idea of trading him still seems more appealing than shifting him over to shortstop — hey, at least the stopgap should be at their natural position, in our humble opinion.

Maybe the Yankees get erratic and undersized (but intriguing) left-hander Adam Macko, Seattle’s No. 12 prospect according to MLB Pipeline, and someone who’s been mocked to the Yanks in the past. Toss in another back-end top 30 guy (Jonatan Clase, an outfielder who’s three years away?), and Urshela can join a west coast contender’s unsettled infield mix after doing the same on the east coast.

NEW YORK, NY – SEPTEMBER 17: Zach Plesac #34 of the Cleveland Indians pitches against the New York Yankees during the second inning at Yankee Stadium on September 17, 2021 in New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY – SEPTEMBER 17: Zach Plesac #34 of the Cleveland Indians pitches against the New York Yankees during the second inning at Yankee Stadium on September 17, 2021 in New York City. (Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images) /

2. Pitching Swap With Cleveland

Last offseason, Cleveland’s Zach Plesac was a hot name on the pitching trade market coming off a 2.28 ERA in eight starts during the shortened 2020.

Of course, Plesac’s 2020 was even shorter than most players’ campaigns; he was caught violating COVID protocols (read: partying in Chicago) and temporarily booted from the team/shipped out in a car service in mid-August.

Though the flame has died down, Plesac’s departure from Cleveland might be even likelier this offseason after a 10-6, 4.67 ERA campaign. After all, the Guardians breed pitchers like nobody’s business, and still sport a rotation with Shane Bieber, Aaron Civale, and Triston McKenzie even if Plesac is jettisoned with four years of control to his name.

Four! Whew.

The issue with Plesac, unfortunately, are his advanced metrics more so than his problematic health care policy. Last season, Plesac’s Statcast percentiles were nearly all in the blue (12% average exit velocity, 15% hard-hit rate, 33% xERA), and he was only truly elite at limiting walks. Maybe, then, Civale becomes New York’s target? His hard-hit rate was also bottom-of-the-barrel, but the spin the Yankees covet was there; 84th percentile in fastball spun and 89th percentile in curveball spin will definitely turn Matt Blake’s head.

If Cleveland does deem Plesac expendable, the Yankees could finally try to fix the Guardians’ outfield picture. Despite the right-hander’s pedestrian stats, he’ll still command a significant return thanks to the four years remaining on his clock to figure it out again. Perhaps it’s a package based around breakout candidate Everson Pereira, who was nearly dealt to Texas last season for Joey Gallo, in addition to Estevan Florial, who’s closer to the bigs? Or maybe that’s the Civale package, and we all just agree to forget about Plesac’s 2020?

No matter the target, the Yankees and Guardians could certainly be talking this spring.

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 14: Gavin Lux #9 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after his single against the San Francisco Giants during the ninth inning in game 5 of the National League Division Series at Oracle Park on October 14, 2021 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 14: Gavin Lux #9 of the Los Angeles Dodgers reacts after his single against the San Francisco Giants during the ninth inning in game 5 of the National League Division Series at Oracle Park on October 14, 2021 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

1. Gleyber Torres/Gavin Lux Swap

What *is* Dodgers infielder Gavin Lux, exactly? Is he the shortstop/second baseman with upper-echelon prospect pedigree?

Or is he more the bench jockey type, cheering on his Dodgers teammates during their postseason runs while being mostly known for coming up just short on long, wind-swept fly balls.

This is our second time in as many offseasons writing about this potential deal, and after a year of additional data, the circumstances have only gotten stranger.

Last offseason, Gleyber Torres was a starting shortstop for an American League favorite. Now, he’s a second baseman who knocked a $120 million man out of position. But … for how long?

Last offseason, Lux was still the Dodgers’ “future,” but that future was getting cloudier. Now, he’s one more disappointing, injury-plagued year further into his career with ton of opportunity ahead of him after Corey Seager’s departure … but are the Dodgers having second (OK, fine, sixth or seventh) thoughts?

In 2021, Lux was elite at not chasing balls (87th percentile) and sprinting (94th percentile), but decidedly average in hard-hit stats (61st percentile average exit velo, 67th percentile max exit velo). He posted just an 87 OPS+, though he remains just 24 and as enigmatic as ever, worth 1.6 WAR on the strength of his defense at second, short, and in center.

In 2021, Torres was elite down the stretch, but posted just a 93 OPS+ overall, disappointing (especially in the power department) until mid-August. He crushed the ball on occasion (82nd percentile max exit velo), but did it rarely (15th percentile average exit velo, 26% hard-hit). His fielding was well-documented and abysmal. He is not a shortstop.

The Yankees have to make an extension decision on Torres at the tail end of the 2024 season. The Dodgers and Lux? After 2026. If LA attaches a lottery-ticket pitcher to him, too, and the Yankees send a Quad-A bullpen talent (Stephen Ridings?), is Lux the stopgap shortstop the Yanks never saw coming?

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