Yankees: 3 underrated pitchers NYY should trade for after 2021

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JULY 04: Starting pitcher Caleb Smith #31 of the Arizona Diamondbacks throws against the San Francisco Giants during the second inning of the MLB game at Chase Field on July 04, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Ralph Freso/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA - JULY 04: Starting pitcher Caleb Smith #31 of the Arizona Diamondbacks throws against the San Francisco Giants during the second inning of the MLB game at Chase Field on July 04, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Ralph Freso/Getty Images)
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PHOENIX, ARIZONA – AUGUST 01: Caleb Smith #31 of the Arizona Diamondbacks delivers a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Chase Field on August 01, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
PHOENIX, ARIZONA – AUGUST 01: Caleb Smith #31 of the Arizona Diamondbacks delivers a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Chase Field on August 01, 2021 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) /

Though the New York Yankees have watched a patchwork starting rotation step up time and again in 2021, that’s no excuse for opting not to fortify things in the offseason, too.

Rest assured: the Bombers have learned their lesson. They will not let under-the-radar opportunities to acquire pitching pass by in the near future.

This season, the Yankees banked on a rotation featuring Corey Kluber and Domingo German towards the back, with a returning Luis Severino arriving midseason. Unfortunately, Sevy’s progression back from Tommy John surgery came with a leg-related setback, and Kluber has missed June, July and August; his likely return coincides with German maintaining his nebulous “still working on it” status.

Next year? Jameson Taillon, acquired based on the idea he’d likely bounce back, will be a huge factor after doing just that. Severino, Gerrit Cole and Jordan Montgomery will ideally be at full strength. German’s role isn’t guaranteed; he might be a depth piece. Kluber likely won’t be back. Clarke Schmidt, Deivi Garcia and Luis Gil will all theoretically be around. You can never, ever, ever have too much pitching, though, and right now, we’d say this snapshot qualifies as “just enough”.

So, who’s next?

The Yankees could always plumb the free agent market now that they’ve ducked under the luxury tax threshold this season (cool). Max Scherzer preemptively blocked a trade to New York a few weeks back, but maybe enough of an overpay over two or three years will convince him to let bygones be bygones. Other top starting pitching options of a slightly lower caliber include Kevin Gausman, Marcus Stroman and 38-year-old Zack Greinke, which could be kind of fun.

These are the 2021-22 Yankees, though. Now that they’ve spent for Gerrit Cole, do you really anticipate them spending again? It’s far more likely their next pitching reinforcement will come via trade from someone else’s roster, and there are a couple of obvious targets who could be unlocked — including a former Yankee.

The Yankees could trade for these 3 underrated pitchers after 2021.

3. Caleb Smith, Arizona Diamondbacks

Remember Caleb Smith?! We won’t begrudge you if you blocked him out of your Yankees memories, but in 2017, Smith made a few appearances (two starts) and totaled a 7.71 ERA before being shipped to Miami in the offseason trade for…Michael King! Garrett Cooper went to the Marlins, too. Odd deal.

Since that offseason, Smith has shown flashes of impressive performance, though his ERA hasn’t quite matched the whiff numbers in 2021. In 2018 and 2019, he posted 4.19 and 4.52 marks, while striking out well over a batter per inning (168 in 153.1 innings in 2019). Midway through 2020, he was dealt to the desert, ending up with the Diamondbacks (weird) and posting a 2.45 ERA in his new home in September.

This season, the ERA has ticked up tremendously into the mid-5.00s and Smith has found himself relegated to the bullpen (31 appearances, just 13 starts) while morphing into a swingman. Counterintuitively, the strikeouts are still there; Smith’s recorded 101 in 87 innings.

Whether he ends up a multi-inning lefty specialist or a starter moving forward, Smith has a relatively impressive profile and could likely be had for a song, even though he’s controllable through 2023. We could’ve opted to discuss D-Backs starter Merrill Kelly here, someone else we’re intrigued by the possible addition of. Kelly doesn’t miss bats, though, and there’s a much higher chance he’ll bust in the AL East — or, at least, provide mostly innings and nothing more.

We wouldn’t say no, but we find Smith more interesting.

PITTSBURGH, PA – JUNE 03: Elieser Hernandez #57 of the Miami Marlins in action during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on June 3, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images)
PITTSBURGH, PA – JUNE 03: Elieser Hernandez #57 of the Miami Marlins in action during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on June 3, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images) /

2. Elieser Hernandez

Everyone and their mother is going to be trying to plunder the Marlins’ pitching riches this offseason, but Kim Ng and Derek Jeter’s braintrust isn’t going to be playing around. They know they’ve built an arsenal, both of prospects and at the big league level.

They also know — say it with me, now — you can never have enough pitching. These Marlins aren’t in desperation mode. They’re happy to keep everybody.

That said, Brian Cashman should be calling daily about putting together a package for Elieser Hernandez, who put it all together in 2020 and would likely have a much higher profile right now if not for a 60-Day IL stint in a lost season in Miami spent dealing with a quad issue.

After underwhelming partial seasons in 2018 and 2019, Hernandez thrived during the Marlins’ playoff run (!) in 2020, striking out 34 men in 25.1 innings across six starts, carrying a 3.16 ERA and 1.013 WHIP. The Venezuelan righty is only freshly 26 years old, and will be controlled by Miami — or, you know, the Yanks, if they pull the trigger — through 2024, and is first-year arb-eligible in 2022.

The Marlins won’t be suckered into anything here. The Yankees can’t underpay just because Miami employs Sandy Alcantara, Trevor Rogers, Max Meyer, Sixto Sanchez (eh?), Pablo Lopez and more. But Hernandez is the name among these who can be pried loose, unless someone’s willing to sacrifice mega-capital and truly believes in Sanchez’s future viability, far from a certainty right now.

The Yankees might not be able to finish this off, but they should be at the front of the line.

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – AUGUST 08: Yusei Kikuchi #18 of the Seattle Mariners in action against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on August 08, 2021 in New York City. The Mariners defeated the Yankees 2-0. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – AUGUST 08: Yusei Kikuchi #18 of the Seattle Mariners in action against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on August 08, 2021 in New York City. The Mariners defeated the Yankees 2-0. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

1. Yusei Kikuchi

We tried to tell you! We really tried to tell you the Yankees should bank on a Kikuchi bounce-back and trade for the lefty prior to the 2021 season.

Jerry Dipoto loves to trade! It’s, like, his entire thing. He probably would’ve found a way to swing a trade with the Yanks this winter in an effort to push the pendulum in the other direction after the Justus Sheffield-James Paxton swap.

This season, Kikuchi has leveled up, making the first All-Star team of his career at the age of 30 in his third big-league campaign. He’s struck out 135 men in 125.1 innings pitched, and has accrued an impressive 2.4 WAR. This is, oddly, the last guaranteed year of his contract, with “team options” to follow from 2022-2025. Considering how heartless Dipoto was a few weeks back when he sent closer Kendall Gravemen to a division rival in the thick of a playoff race, don’t you think the Yankees promising him they’d pick up next year’s option instead entice the born trader within his soul to emerge once more?

The advanced metrics aren’t quite as kind to Kikuchi, who has a bottom-6% average exit velocity this year and an expected ERA that sits well above his current mark (4.40 vs 3.73). They liked him a lot more last year, in fact, when he pitched like a true-talent 3.37 ERA hurler.

You can’t argue with a lefty who can touch 98 with his fastball and spot it while making an All-Star squad, though. The Yankees should once again place a call to the Northwest, where they’ll surely find Dipoto wide awake at any hour, eyes bloodshot and ready to deal.

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