Yankees: 3 Rule 5 prospects NYY must trade at deadline
If you have no interest in learning about who the “Next Garrett Whitlock” will be, then you should be rooting for the Yankees to trade these three prospects on July 30.
Otherwise, they’re going to have to either protect them this winter on an extremely overcrowded 40-man roster or wave goodbye to additional talent. We know it happens, but … it’s so frustrating.
That’s the one downside of the farm heating up at every level at the exact same time: whenever there’s talented lava bubbling up over the sides of the volcano, somebody’s gotta go.
More specifically, a lotta people gotta go. So why not be proactive and deal players you don’t think you’ll have room for this offseason so you don’t lose them for nothing?
In trying to take a rational look at this, we’ve included only players who have boosted their stocks significantly enough this year to be viable third pieces in big-time deals centered around two top-15 prospects. We’ve also chosen not to address the overflowing catchers in the room, considering MLB teams must keep their Rule 5 selections on the active roster all year or else they lose them.
Sure, the Yankees lost Luis Torrens once to a tanking Padres team — which is still pretty crazy, and he’s also good now — but it seems unlikely that Donny Sands and Josh Breaux will be selected, unless a team plans to carry three catchers for all 162.
All things considered, these 40-man question marks are our three most likely players to be sold on Friday instead.
The Yankees might want to trade these 3 players before they leave in the Rule 5.
3. Janson Junk
Janson Junk’s been one of the best pitchers in the entire minor leagues this year.
One of the best. One of the best pitchers in the minors. No matter how goofy that title actually is and how well/poorly you think Junk’s fringe stuff and effective mix will play at the MLB level, you can’t lose someone putting up these numbers without getting something back.
In 61.2 innings, he’s whiffed 62 with a 1.46 ERA and an under-1.00 WHIP of .908. Junk’s pitchability is his primary guiding light, and he’s gotten a bit more love from the FanGraphs of the world as this season has continued. Junk is a name most fans expected to serve as effective filler this year, but as this phenomenon continues, it’s clear he’s become a guy who gets the most out of his stuff and has reached the radar of other MLB teams. You don’t think the Cubs would take a flyer on him and have Kyle Hendricks show him the way?
Perhaps the Yankees should just take the wind out of those sails and swap the two at the deadline, huh? Or protect Junk and trade for Hendricks this offseason, allowing that relationship to thrive with the right-colored pinstripes.
Junk’s a 25-year-old minor-league “veteran,” not a lottery ticket. If the Yankees leave him unprotected, he will get swiped. He’s also been too good for the team to let it come to that.
2. Randy Vasquez
Hey, anybody have their eyes tuned to the Single-A Tampa Tarpons this season? If not, you should pay attention. They’re doubling up the rest of the league, destroying teams with a powerful offense led by Austin Wells, Trevor Hauver and, until recently, breakout top-100 MLB prospect Anthony Volpe, who was promoted to High-A Hudson Valley in recent days.
So, too, was righty starter Randy Vasquez, who might’ve gotten a few more eyeballs on him thanks to his proximity to the high-flying, first-round-led offense.
Odds are, scouts liked what they saw from the 22-year-old, who scuffled in his first High-A start (four earned in 5.2 innings), but largely dominated in the offensive haven of the lower level, striking out 58 in 50 innings while walking 23 for a 1.16 WHIP. Bizarrely, Vasquez allowed 23 runs but just 14 of the earned variety, meaning he often unraveled when the defense failed to do him any favors.
Unlike Junk, this is mostly a projectable selection, but some team bereft of bullpen help will take a chance on the kid if he’s left unprotected, and the Yankees simply have too much else on their plate to even really think about offering him a precious roster spot, seeing as he’s two or three years away from their timeline.
Vasquez simply has to be the third piece for Trevor Story or fifth piece for Max Scherzer in a matter of days.
1. Glenn Otto
Safe to say no one watching the Yankees’ system this year has forgotten about Glenn Otto in any capacity.
In fact, if you’re looking for the next Whitlock, this is by far the safest bet. The 2017 fifth-rounder has embraced his sweeping breakers and tornado-like motion this year to strike out 115 men in 75.2 innings across two levels this season while posting a 1.02 WHIP and cresting in Triple-A, where he’s found things slightly tougher to navigate.
Hopefully, the Yankees have learned from their mistakes and have every intention of protecting Otto this offseason. But … well … there are only so many spaces to go around. And Brooks Kriske absolutely needs one (kidding).
If the Yankees don’t have a clear plan in place for their foremost minor-league breakout (well, Otto and Ken Waldichuk are probably tied), then they’d better be pushing him hard as a secondary piece in a major deadline deal. Both the eye test and the numerical analyses show you there’s something to dig for in Otto’s game, and it’s an outright guarantee that even a middling team like the Reds will find space for him this winter if the Yankees fail to.
Remember, the Yankees weren’t worried about the Red Sox this past winter, either … until they were. There was no way Boston would keep a barely-rehabbed Tommy John arm on their team all year … until Whitlock made it clear he could survive all season and maybe even mess around and win Rookie of the Year. A team that’s a few pieces away will have no problem swiping the Yankees’ treasure for free and leveling up.